I just love studies

that obliquely refer to “increased chances of contracting X” without stating what the general baseline occurrence of X is.

For example, this list shows the odds of an event occurring, but does not factor in prerequisites.  It shows the odds of getting a “hole in one” at 1 in 5000.  However if you never have or never will play golf, your odds of getting that hole in one are precisely zero.  Simply playing the game dramatically increases your odds.

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